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An improved diffusion model for supply chain emergency in uncertain environment

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Abstract

Emergencies will bring the great threat to the stability and coordination of supply chain, such as temporary interruption of raw materials supply, strong fluctuation of demand and distorted information transmission, which will lead to the breakdown of whole supply chain and threaten the survival of enterprises in supply chain. Based on the influence factors of emergency diffusion and supply chain structure in uncertain environment, this paper studies the diffusion effect of emergency and establishes an improved Bass diffusion model. On this basis, information diffusion simulation is carried out. Finally, management suggestions are proposed on supply chain emergency diffusion in uncertain environment.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 71871222), the Humanities and Social Science Research Project of Shandong Universities (J17RB103), Shandong Social Science Planning Research Project (19CGLJ31), Qingdao Social Science Planning Project (QDSKL1801035). It also was supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (18CX04004B).

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Correspondence to Yirui Deng.

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Communicated by X. Li.

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Deng, Y., Jiang, M. & Ling, C. An improved diffusion model for supply chain emergency in uncertain environment. Soft Comput 24, 6385–6394 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-019-04134-9

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