Skip to main content
Log in

Reliability calculation of time-consuming problems using a small-sample artificial neural network-based response surface method

  • Engineering Applications of Neural Networks
  • Published:
Neural Computing and Applications Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

An important step when designing and assessing the reliability of existing structures and/or structural elements is to calculate the reliability level described by failure probability or reliability index. Since calculating the structural response of complex systems such as bridges is usually a time-consuming task, the utilization of approximation methods with a view to reducing the computational effort to an acceptable level is an appropriate solution. The paper introduces a small-sample artificial neural network-based response surface method. An artificial neural network is used as an approximation (a so-called response surface) of the original limit state function. In order to be as effective as possible with respect to computational effort, a stratified Latin hypercube sampling simulation method is utilized to properly select training set elements. Subsequently, the artificial neural network-based response surface is utilized to calculate failure probability. To increase the accuracy of the determined failure probability, the response surface can be updated close to the failure region. This is performed by finding a new anchor point, which lies close to the design point of the limit state function. The new anchor point is then used to prepare the updated training set. The efficiency of the proposed method is tested for different training set sizes using a nonlinear limit state function taken from the literature, and the reliability assessment of three concrete bridges, one with explicit and two with implicit limit state functions in the form of finite element method models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Bucher CG (1988) Adaptive sampling—an iterative fast Monte Carlo procedure. Struct Saf 5(2):119–126

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Bjerager P (1988) Probability integration by directional simulation. J Eng Mech ASCE 114(8):285–302

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Ayyub B, Chia C (1992) Generalised conditional expectation for structural reliability assessment. Struct Saf 11(2):131–146

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. McKay MD, Conover WJ, Beckman RJ (1979) A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code. Technometrics 21(2):239–245

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Melchers EM (1999) Structural reliability analysis and prediction. Wiley, Chichester

    Google Scholar 

  6. Myers RH (1971) Response surface methodology. Allyn and Bacon, New York

    Google Scholar 

  7. Bucher CG (2009) Computational analysis of randomness in structural mechanics. CRC Press/Balkema, Leiden

    Book  Google Scholar 

  8. Ghanem RG, Spanos PD (1991) Stochastic finite elements: a spectral approach. Springer, Berlin

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  9. Hurtado JE (2004) An examination of methods for approximating implicit limit state functions from the viewpoint of statistical learning theory. Struct Saf 26(3):271–293

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Kaymaz I (2005) Application of Kriging method to structural reliability problems. Struct Saf 27(2):133–151

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Echard B, Gayton N, Lemaire M (2011) AK-MCS: an active learning reliability method combining Kriging and Monte Carlo simulation. Struct Saf 33(2):145–154

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Echard B, Gayton N, Lemaire M, Relun N (2013) A combined importance sampling and kriging reliability method for small failure probabilities with time-demanding numerical models. Reliab Eng Syst Safe 111:232–240

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Bucher CG, Bourgund U (1990) A fast and efficient response surface approach for structural reliability problems. Struct Saf 7(1):57–66

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Rajashekhar MR, Ellingwood BR (1993) A new look at the response surface approach for reliability analysis. Struct Saf 12(3):205–220

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Koehler JR, Owen AB (1996) Computer experiments. In: Ghosh S, Rao CR (eds) Handbook of statistics, vol 13. Elsevier, New York, pp 261–308

    Google Scholar 

  16. Cichocki A, Unbehauen R (1993) Neural networks for optimization and signal processing. Wiley & B.G, Teubner, Stuttgart

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  17. Kůrková V (1992) Kolmogorov’s theorem and multilayer neural networks. Neural Netw 5(3):501–506

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Novák D, Lehký D (2006) ANN inverse analysis based on stochastic small-sample training set simulation. Eng Appl Artif Intel 19(7):731–740

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Lehký D, Novák D (2012) Solving inverse structural reliability problem using artificial neural networks and small-sample simulation. Adv Struct Eng 15(11):1911–1920

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Vořechovský M (2015) Hierarchical refinement of latin hypercube samples. Comput Aided Civ Inf 30:394–411

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Novák D, Vořechovský M, Rusina R (2012) FReET v.1.6—program documentation: user’s and theory guides. Červenka Consulting, Brno. http://www.freet.cz

  22. Novák D, Vořechovský M, Teplý B (2013) FReET: software for the statistical and reliability analysis of engineering problems and FReET-D: degradation module. Adv Eng Softw 72:179–192

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Lehký D (2015) DLNNET—program documentation: theory and user’s manual. Brno, Czech Republic

  24. Vořechovský M, Novák D (2009) Correlation control in small sample Monte Carlo type simulations I: a simulated annealing approach. Probab Eng Mech 24(3):452–462

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Červenka V, Jendele L, Červenka J (2007) ATENA Program Documentation—part 1: theory. Cervenka Consulting, Prague

    Google Scholar 

  26. Lehký D, Šomodíková M (2014) Small-sample artificial neural network based response surface method for reliability analysis of concrete bridges. In: Furuta H, Frangopol DM, Akiyama M (eds) Proceedings of the Fourth International Symposium on Life-Cycle Civil Engineering (IALCCE 2014)—life-cycle of structural systems: design, assessment, maintenance and management, Tokyo, Japan. Taylor & Francis Group, London, pp 1903–1909

  27. Šomodíková M, Lehký D (2015) Application of soft computing techniques for reliability calculation of time demanding problems. In: Podofillini L et al (eds) Safety and reliability of complex engineered systems: Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015, Zürich, Switzerland, 7–10 September 2015, Taylor & Francis Group, London, pp 4151–4159

  28. Grigoriu M (1982/83) Methods for approximate reliability analysis. Struct Saf 1(2):155–165

  29. Schwefel HP (1991) Numerical optimization for computer models. Wiley, Chichester

    Google Scholar 

  30. ČSN 73 6222 (2009) Load bearing capacity of road bridges. Czech Office for Standards, Metrology and Testing, Prague (in Czech)

    Google Scholar 

  31. Joint Committee on Structural Safety (JCSS) (2015) Probabilistic model code. http://www.jcss.byg.dtu.dk/. Last update 1 July 2015

  32. Technical Specifications TP 224 (2010) Ověřování existujících betonových mostů pozemních komunikací. Ministry of Transport, Department of Road Infrastructure, Prague (in Czech)

  33. Šomodíková M, Doležel J, Lehký D (2013) Probabilistic load bearing capacity assessment of post-tensioned composite bridge. In: Novák D, Vořechovský M (eds) Proceedings of the 11th International Probabilistic Workshop, Brno, 6–8 November 2013, pp 451–460

  34. ČSN EN 1992-2 (2007) Eurocode 2: design of concrete structures—part 2: concrete bridges—design and detailing rules. Czech Standardization Institute, Prague (in Czech)

    Google Scholar 

  35. Šomodíková M, Lehký D, Doležel J, Novák D (2014) Time dependent probabilistic analysis of a deteriorating reinforced concrete bridge. In: Furuta H, Frangopol DM, Akiyama M (eds) Proceedings of the Fourth International Symposium on Life-Cycle Civil Engineering (IALCCE 2014)—life-cycle of structural systems: design, assessment, maintenance and management, Tokyo, Japan. Taylor & Francis Group, London, pp 1852–1858

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors give thanks for the support provided from Czech Science Foundation (GAČR) Project FIRBO No. 15-07730S, and from Project No. LO1408 “AdMaS UP—Advanced Materials, Structures and Technologies,” awarded by the Ministry of Education of the Czech Republic under “National Sustainability Programme I”.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to David Lehký.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Lehký, D., Šomodíková, M. Reliability calculation of time-consuming problems using a small-sample artificial neural network-based response surface method. Neural Comput & Applic 28, 1249–1263 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-016-2485-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-016-2485-3

Keywords

Navigation