Zusammenfassung
Im Dezember 2007 hat die EU-Kommission einen Vorschlag zur Begrenzung der ab 2012 zulässigen Höchstwerte für die spezifischen CO2-Emissionen der neu zugelassenen Pkw veröffentlicht. Wesentliches Charakteristikum ist, dass die Emissionen pro Kilometer bei schweren Pkw gegenüber dem heutigen Stand überproportional stärker verringert werden müssen als bei leichten Fahrzeugen. Dieser Vorschlag steht unter heftiger Kritik, insbesondere aus Deutschland. Der vorliegende Beitrag zeigt, dass diese Kritik nicht zuletzt wegen der ungenügenden Transparenz und offenbar mangelhaften statistischen Fundierung des Vorschlags sehr berechtigt erscheint. Auf diese Weise werden insbesondere die bisherigen technologischen Leistungen der deutschen Hersteller verzerrt dargestellt.
Abstract
As part of its efforts to reach the targets of the Kyoto Protocol, the European Commission is currently considering a new directive to reduce the per-kilometer CO2 emissions of newly registered automobiles. This paper critically assesses this proposal with respect to its statistical foundation. We argue that the proposal’s underlying assumptions misrepresent the current state of automotive technology and therefore may overestimate the feasibility of achieving the suggested emissions targets. Alternative targets are consequently proposed that are argued to more accurately reflect the industry’s technological evolution to date.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Literatur
Bonus H (1998) Umweltzertifikate. Der steinige Weg zur Marktwirtschaft. Editorial des Sonderheftes 9, Z angew Umweltforsch
COM (2007a) Results of the Review of the Community Strategy to Reduce CO2 Emissions from Passenger Cars and Light-commercial Vehicles: Impact Assessment, SEC(2007) 60, European Commission, Brussels
COM (2007b) Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council: Setting Emission Performance Standards for New Passenger Cars as Part of the Community’s Integrated Approach to Reduce CO2 Emissions from Light-duty Vehicles, December 19, 2007, COM(2007) 856 final, European Commission, Brussels
COM (2007c) Questions and Answers on the Proposed Regulation to Reduce CO2 Emissions from Cars, December 19, 2007, Memo/07/597, European Commission, Brussels
COM (2008) Addendum to the Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council: Setting Emission Performance Standards for New Passenger Cars as Part of the Community’s Integrated Approach to Reduce CO2 Emissions from Light-duty Vehicles, January 11, 2008, 5089/08 ADD 1, European Commission, Brussels
EEA (2007) Greenhouse Gas Emission Trends and Projections in Europe 2007 – Tracking Progress Towards Kyoto Targets, EEA report 5/2007, European Environment Agency, Kopenhagen
Frondel M, Peters J, Vance C (2008) Identifying the Rebound: Evidence from a German Household Panel. Energ J 28(4):145–163
Frondel M, Schmidt CM, Vance C (2008) A Regression on Climate Policy: The European Commission’s Proposal to Reduce CO2 Emissions from Transport, Ruhr Economic Papers 44, Essen
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Frondel, M., Schmidt, C.M. Benötigt die EU Nachhilfe in Regressionsrechnung? Eine statistische Analyse des Vorschlags der EU-Kommission zur Begrenzung der CO2-Emissionen von Pkw . AStA Wirtsch Sozialstat Arch 2, 329–341 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11943-008-0049-4
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11943-008-0049-4