Skip to main content

Predicting US Energy Consumption Utilizing Artificial Neural Network

  • Reference work entry
  • First Online:
Handbook of Smart Energy Systems

Abstract

Today, the increasing importance of energy resources in the formation and growth of economic processes, as well as the necessity of utilizing these resources based on environmental considerations and sustainable economic and social development, highlights the issue of identifying and studying the factors affecting energy consumption. In addition, due to the limitation of energy resources, forecasting the demand for energy consumption in the future has become very important. Therefore, this chapter proposed a smart prediction methodology to predict the US energy consumption via using machine learning (ML) methodologies. It proposes artificial neural networks (ANN) to predict energy consumption in the United States from 2021 to 2030. In addition, it investigates a vast range of influencers on energy consumption and selects four influencers on energy consumption during the years from 1990 until 2020 including population, gross domestic product (GDP), crude oil production, and inflation rate. Finally, this research presents the volume of future US energy consumption at a high level of accuracy which maximum value of ANN-PB algorithm error equaled to 2.5%.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 1,399.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 1,399.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Annual Energy Outlook, The U.S. Energy Information Administration of the outlook for energy markets through 2050 (2021)

    Google Scholar 

  • A. Avami, M. Boroushaki, Energy consumption forecasting of Iran using recurrent neural networks. Energy Sources Part B 6, 339–347 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • G. Aydin, H. Jang, E. Topal, Energy consumption modeling using artificial neural networks: The case of the world’s highest consumers. Energy Sources Part B: Econ. Plan. Policy 11, 212–219 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • S.E. Dreyfus, Artificial neural networks, back propagation, and the Kelley-Bryson gradient procedure. Am. Inst. Aeronaut. Astronaut. 13, 926–928 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  • V.S. Ediger, S. Akar, ARIMA forecasting of primary energy demand by fuel in Turkey. Energy Policy 35, 1701–1708 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • L. Ekonomou, Greek long-term energy consumption prediction using artificial neural networks. Energy 35, 512–517 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IEA Key World Energy Statistics (2020) https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/gdp-by-scenario-2018-2030

  • M. Kankal, A. Akpinar, M.I. Komurcu, T.S. Ozsahin, Modeling and forecasting of Turkey's energy consumption using socio-economic and demographic variables. Appl. Energy 88, 1927–1939 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • S. Karasu, The effect of daylight-saving time options on electricity consumption of Turkey. Energy 35, 3773–3782 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • B. Khoshnevisan, S. Rafiee, M. Omid, M. Yousefi, M. Movahedi, Modeling of energy consumption and GHG (greenhouse gas) emissions in wheat production in Esfahan province of Iran using artificial neural networks. Energy 52, 333–338 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • H.Y. Lee, K.M. Jang, Y. Kim, Energy consumption prediction in Vietnam with an artificial neural network-based urban growth model. Energies 13 (2020). https://doi.org/10.3390/en13174282

  • MacroTrends (2021) U.S. population, https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/unitedstates/population

  • M. Mohsin, M.K. Majeed, S. Naseem, Impact of inflation rate and exchange rate on GDP: evidence from Pakistan. Am. J. Res. (2018). https://doi.org/10.26739/2573-5616-2018-3-2-3

  • V. Nourani, E. Sharghi, M.H. Aminfar, Integrated ANN model for earthfill dams seepage analysis: Sattarkhan dam in Iran. Artif. Intell. Res. 1, 22–37 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • M.T. Perea, G.H. Ruiz, J.R. Moreno, R.C. Miranda, E.R. Araiza, Greenhouse energy consumption prediction using neural networks models. Int. J. Agri. Biol., 1814–9596 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  • N. Rajput, S.K. Verma, Back propagation feed forward neural network approach for speech recognition. IEEE Xplore (2015). https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRITO.2014.7014712

  • D.E. Rumelhart, G.E. Hinton, R.J. Williams, Learning representations by back propagating errors. Nature, 323, 533–536 (1986)

    Google Scholar 

  • M.H. Sazli, A brief review of feed-forward neural networks. Commun. Facul. Sci. Univ. Ankara 50, 11–17 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  • A. Sözen, E. Arcaklioglu, Prediction of net energy consumption based on economic indicators (GNP and GDP) in Turkey. Energy Policy 35, 4981–4992 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • A. Sözen, M.A. Akçayol, E. Arcaklioglu, Forecasting net energy consumption using artificial neural network. Energy Sources Part B 1, 147–155 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • A.K. Tiwari, On the dynamics of Indian GDP, crude oil production and imports. OPEC Energy Rev. 39, 162–183 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • USDA US Inflation Long-Term Forecast (2021) https://knoema.com/kyaewad/us-inflation-forecast-2021-2022-and-long-term-to-2030-data-and-charts

  • E. Uzlu, M. Kankal, A. Akpınar, T. Dede, Estimates of energy consumption in Turkey using neural networks with the teachingelearning-based optimization algorithm. Energy 75, 295–303 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • K. Wanjala, A. Kinyanjui, Effect of crude oil prices on GDP growth and selected macroeconomic variables in Kenya. J. Econ. Bus. 1(3), 282–298 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  • B. Yan, Q.H. Zhang, O.W.H. Wai, Prediction of sand ripple geometry under waves using an artificial neural network. Comput. Geosci. 34, 1655–1664 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • C. Zhou, X. Chen, Predicting energy consumption: A multiple decomposition-ensemble approach. Energy 189 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.116045

  • C. Zhou, X. Chen, Predicting China’s energy consumption: Combining machine learning with three-layer decomposition approach. Energy Rep. 7, 5086–5099 (2021)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mohammad Pasandidehpoor .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this entry

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this entry

Pasandidehpoor, M., Mendes-Moreira, J., Rahman Mohammadpour, S., Sousa, R.T. (2023). Predicting US Energy Consumption Utilizing Artificial Neural Network. In: Fathi, M., Zio, E., Pardalos, P.M. (eds) Handbook of Smart Energy Systems. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-97940-9_136

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics