Abstract
Improved bounds and simulation procedures on the value of the multivariate normal probability distribution function value are given in the paper. The author's variance reduction technique was based on the Bonferroni bounds involving the first two binomial moments only. The new variance reduction technique is adapted to the most refined new bounds developed in the last decade for the estimation the probability of union respectively intersection of events. Numerical test results prove the efficiency of the simulation procedures described in the paper.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
M. Beckers and A. Haegamans, Comparison of numerical integration techniques for multivariate normal integrals, Preprint, Computer Science Department, Catholic University of Leuven, Belgium (1992).
J. Berntsen, T.O. Espelid and A. Genz, Algorithm 698: DCUHRE—An adaptive multidimensional integration routine for a vector of integrals, ACM Transactions on Mathematical Software 17 (1991) 452–456.
J. Bukszár and A. Prékopa, Probability bounds with cherry-trees, Rutcor Research Report, RRR 04–99, revised version RRR 44–2000.
J. Bukszár and T. Szántai, Probability bounds given by hyper-cherry-trees, Alkalmazott Matematikai Lapok 19 (1999) 69–85 (in Hungarian).
I. Deák, Three digit accurate multiple normal probabilities, Numerische Mathematik 35 (1980) 369–380.
A. Genz, Numerical computation of the multivariate normal probabilities, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 1 (1992) 141–150.
D. Hunter, Bounds for the probability of a union, Journal of Applied Probability 13 (1976) 597–603.
A. Prékopa, Stochastic Programming(Kluwer Academic, Budapest, 1995).
A. Prékopa, B. Vizvári and G. Regõs, Lower and upper bounds on probabilities of boolean functions of events, Rutcor Research Report, RRR 36–95.
M. Schervish, Multivariate normal probabilities with error bound, Applied Statistics 33 (1984) 81–87.
T. Szántai, An algorithm for calculating multiple normal distribution function values and gradient vector of that, Alkalmazott Matematikai Lapok 2 (1976) 27–39 (in Hungarian).
T. Szántai, Evaluation of a special multivariate gamma distribution function, Mathematical Programming Study 27 (1986) 1–16.
I. Tomescu, Hypertrees and bonferroni inequalities, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B 41 (1986) 209–217.
K.J. Worsley, An improved Bonferroni inequality and applications, Biometrika 69 (1982) 297–302.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Szántai, T. Improved Bounds and Simulation Procedures on the Value of the Multivariate Normal Probability Distribution Function. Annals of Operations Research 100, 85–101 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019211000153
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019211000153