Tripled yield in direct-drive laser fusion through statistical modelling [Tripling the yield in direct-drive laser fusion via predictive statistical modeling]

Gopalaswamy, V.; Betti, R.; Knauer, J. P.; Luciani, N.; Patel, D.; Woo, K. M.; Bose, A.; Igumenshchev, I. V.; Campbell, E. M.; Anderson, K. S.; Bauer, K. A.; Bonino, M. J.; Cao, D.; Christopherson, A. R.; Collins, G. W.; Collins, T. J. B.; Davies, J. R.; Delettrez, J. A.; Edgell, D. H.; Epstein, R.; Forrest, C. J.; Froula, D. H.; Glebov, V. Y.; Goncharov, V. N.; Harding, D. R.; Hu, S. X.; Jacobs-Perkins, D. W.; Janezic, R. T.; Kelly, J. H.; Mannion, O. M.; Maximov, A.; Marshall, F. J.; Michel, D. T.; Miller, S.; Morse, S. F. B.; Palastro, J.; Peebles, J.; Radha, P. B.; Regan, S. P.; Sampat, S.; Sangster, T. C.; Sefkow, A. B.; Seka, W.; Shah, R. C.; Shmyada, W. T.; Shvydky, A.; Stoeckl, C.; Solodov, A. A.; Theobald, W.; Zuegel, J. D.; Johnson, M. Gatu; Petrasso, R. D.; Li, C. K.; Frenje, J. A.

doi:10.1038/s41586-019-0877-0

Title: Tripled yield in direct-drive laser fusion through statistical modelling [Tripling the yield in direct-drive laser fusion via predictive statistical modeling]

Journal Article · Wed Jan 30 00:00:00 EST 2019 · Nature (London)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-0877-0· OSTI ID:1493448

Gopalaswamy, V. ^[1]; Betti, R. ^[1]; Knauer, J. P. ^[1]; Luciani, N. ^[2]; Patel, D. ^[1]; Woo, K. M. ^[1]; Bose, A. ^[3]; Igumenshchev, I. V. ^[1]; Campbell, E. M. ^[1]; Anderson, K. S. ^[1]; Bauer, K. A. ^[1]; Bonino, M. J. ^[1]; Cao, D. ^[1]; Christopherson, A. R. ^[1]; Collins, G. W. ^[1]; Collins, T. J. B. ^[1]; Davies, J. R. ^[1]; Delettrez, J. A. ^[1]; Edgell, D. H. ^[1]; Epstein, R. ^[1] more »

Univ. of Rochester, Rochester, NY (United States)
Univ. of Rochester, Rochester, NY (United States); Politecnico di Milano, Milan (Italy)
Univ. of Rochester, Rochester, NY (United States); Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA (United States)
Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA (United States)

Focusing laser light onto a very small target can produce the conditions for laboratory-scale nuclear fusion of hydrogen isotopes. The lack of accurate predictive models, which are essential for the design of high-performance laser-fusion experiments, is a major obstacle to achieving thermonuclear ignition. Here we report a statistical approach that was used to design and quantitatively predict the results of implosions of solid deuterium–tritium targets carried out with the 30-kilojoule OMEGA laser system, leading to tripling of the fusion yield to its highest value so far for direct-drive laser fusion. When scaled to the laser energies of the National Ignition Facility (1.9 megajoules), these targets are predicted to produce a fusion energy output of about 500 kilojoules—several times larger than the fusion yields currently achieved at that facility. As a result, this approach could guide the exploration of the vast parameter space of thermonuclear ignition conditions and enhance our understanding of laser-fusion physics.

View Accepted Manuscript (DOE)

Cite

Export

Save

Research Organization:: Univ. of Rochester, NY (United States). Lab. for Laser Energetics

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)

Contributing Organization:: Laboratory for Laser Energetics, University of Rochester

Grant/Contract Number:: NA0001944

OSTI ID:: 1493448

Report Number(s):: 2018-88, 1463; 2018-88, 1463, 2420

Journal Information:: Nature (London), Vol. 565, Issue 7741; ISSN 0028-0836

Publisher:: Nature Publishing GroupCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Citation Metrics:

Cited by: 74 works

Citation information provided by
Web of Science

References (51)

Progress towards ignition on the National Ignition Facility Edwards, M. J.; Patel, P. K.; Lindl, J. D. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 20, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4816115	journal	July 2013
T HE R ICHTMYER -M ESHKOV I NSTABILITY Brouillette, Martin Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics, Vol. 34, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.fluid.34.090101.162238	journal	January 2002
Review of the National Ignition Campaign 2009-2012 Lindl, John; Landen, Otto; Edwards, John Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 21, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4865400	journal	February 2014
A review of the ablative stabilization of the Rayleigh–Taylor instability in regimes relevant to inertial confinement fusion Kilkenny, J. D.; Glendinning, S. G.; Haan, S. W. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 1, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.870688	journal	May 1994
Fuel gain exceeding unity in an inertially confined fusion implosion Hurricane, O. A.; Callahan, D. A.; Casey, D. T. Nature, Vol. 506, Issue 7488 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13008	journal	February 2014
Hydrodynamic relations for direct-drive fast-ignition and conventional inertial confinement fusion implosions Zhou, C. D.; Betti, R. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 14, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.2746812	journal	July 2007
Optical and plasma smoothing of laser imprinting in targets driven by lasers with SSD bandwidths up to 1 THz Boehly, T. R.; Goncharov, V. N.; Gotchev, O. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 8, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.1352616	journal	May 2001
Generalized Measurable Ignition Criterion for Inertial Confinement Fusion Chang, Py.; Betti, R.; Spears, B. K. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 104, Issue 13 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.104.135002	journal	April 2010
Improving the hot-spot pressure and demonstrating ignition hydrodynamic equivalence in cryogenic deuterium–tritium implosions on OMEGA Goncharov, V. N.; Sangster, T. C.; Betti, R. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 21, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4876618	journal	May 2014
A self-calibrating, multichannel streak camera for inertial confinement fusion applications Donaldson, W. R.; Boni, R.; Keck, R. L. Review of Scientific Instruments, Vol. 73, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.1482155	journal	July 2002
Alpha Heating and Burning Plasmas in Inertial Confinement Fusion Betti, R.; Christopherson, A. R.; Spears, B. K. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 114, Issue 25 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.114.255003	journal	June 2015
The effect of turbulent kinetic energy on inferred ion temperature from neutron spectra Murphy, T. J. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 21, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4885342	journal	July 2014
Interpretation of neutron time-of-flight signals from current-mode detectors Murphy, T. J.; Chrien, R. E.; Klare, K. A. Review of Scientific Instruments, Vol. 68, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.1147763	journal	January 1997
Effect of laser illumination nonuniformity on the analysis of time-resolved x-ray measurements in uv spherical transport experiments Delettrez, J.; Epstein, R.; Richardson, M. C. Physical Review A, Vol. 36, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevA.36.3926	journal	October 1987
First-principles equation of state of polystyrene and its effect on inertial confinement fusion implosions Hu, S. X.; Collins, L. A.; Goncharov, V. N. Physical Review E, Vol. 92, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.92.043104	journal	October 2015
Three-Dimensional Characterization of Cryogenic Target Ice Layers Using Multiple Shadowgraph Views Edgell, D. H.; Craxton, R. S.; Elasky, L. M. Fusion Science and Technology, Vol. 49, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.13182/FST49-616	journal	May 2006
Analysis of trends in experimental observables: Reconstruction of the implosion dynamics and implications for fusion yield extrapolation for direct-drive cryogenic targets on OMEGA Bose, A.; Betti, R.; Mangino, D. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 25, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5026780	journal	June 2018
National direct-drive program on OMEGA and the National Ignition Facility Goncharov, V. N.; Regan, S. P.; Campbell, E. M. Plasma Physics and Controlled Fusion, Vol. 59, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1088/0741-3335/59/1/014008	journal	October 2016
Demonstration of Fuel Hot-Spot Pressure in Excess of 50 Gbar for Direct-Drive, Layered Deuterium-Tritium Implosions on OMEGA Regan, S. P.; Goncharov, V. N.; Igumenshchev, I. V. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 117, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.117.025001	journal	July 2016
Radiation hydrodynamics modeling of the highest compression inertial confinement fusion ignition experiment from the National Ignition Campaign Clark, D. S.; Marinak, M. M.; Weber, C. R. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 22, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4906897	journal	February 2015
Three-dimensional modeling of direct-drive cryogenic implosions on OMEGA Igumenshchev, I. V.; Goncharov, V. N.; Marshall, F. J. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 23, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4948418	journal	May 2016
Effects of residual kinetic energy on yield degradation and ion temperature asymmetries in inertial confinement fusion implosions Woo, K. M.; Betti, R.; Shvarts, D. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 25, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5026706	journal	May 2018
High-resolution spectroscopy used to measure inertial confinement fusion neutron spectra on Omega (invited) Forrest, C. J.; Radha, P. B.; Glebov, V. Yu. Review of Scientific Instruments, Vol. 83, Issue 10 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4742926	journal	October 2012
The National Ignition Facility - applications for inertial fusion energy and high-energy-density science Campbell, E. Michael; Hogan, William J. Plasma Physics and Controlled Fusion, Vol. 41, Issue 12B https://doi.org/10.1088/0741-3335/41/12B/303	journal	December 1999
Three-dimensional HYDRA simulations of National Ignition Facility targets Marinak, M. M.; Kerbel, G. D.; Gentile, N. A. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 8, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.1356740	journal	May 2001
Role of Hot-Electron Preheating in the Compression of Direct-Drive Imploding Targets with Cryogenic $D_{2}$ Ablators Smalyuk, V. A.; Shvarts, D.; Betti, R. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 100, Issue 18 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.100.185005	journal	May 2008
Thermonuclear ignition in inertial confinement fusion and comparison with magnetic confinement Betti, R.; Chang, P. Y.; Spears, B. K. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 17, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3380857	journal	May 2010
Pulsed-power-driven cylindrical liner implosions of laser preheated fuel magnetized with an axial field Slutz, S. A.; Herrmann, M. C.; Vesey, R. A. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 17, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3333505	journal	May 2010
First Observation of Cross-Beam Energy Transfer Mitigation for Direct-Drive Inertial Confinement Fusion Implosions Using Wavelength Detuning at the National Ignition Facility Marozas, J. A.; Hohenberger, M.; Rosenberg, M. J. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 120, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.120.085001	journal	February 2018
Theory of ultracold atomic Fermi gases Giorgini, Stefano; Pitaevskii, Lev P.; Stringari, Sandro Reviews of Modern Physics, Vol. 80, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1103/RevModPhys.80.1215	journal	October 2008
Performance metrics for inertial confinement fusion implosions: Aspects of the technical framework for measuring progress in the National Ignition Campaign Spears, Brian K.; Glenzer, S.; Edwards, M. J. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 19, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3696743	journal	May 2012
Shock Ignition of Thermonuclear Fuel with High Areal Density Betti, R.; Zhou, C. D.; Anderson, K. S. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 98, Issue 15 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.155001	journal	April 2007
A comprehensive alpha-heating model for inertial confinement fusion Christopherson, A. R.; Betti, R.; Bose, A. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 25, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4991405	journal	January 2018
Fluid and kinetic simulation of inertial confinement fusion plasmas Atzeni, S.; Schiavi, A.; Califano, F. Computer Physics Communications, Vol. 169, Issue 1-3 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cpc.2005.03.036	journal	July 2005
Fusion Energy Output Greater than the Kinetic Energy of an Imploding Shell at the National Ignition Facility Le Pape, S.; Berzak Hopkins, L. F.; Divol, L. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 120, Issue 24 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.120.245003	journal	June 2018
Inertial-confinement fusion with lasers Betti, R.; Hurricane, O. A. Nature Physics, Vol. 12, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1038/nphys3736	journal	May 2016
The Physics of Inertial Fusion Atzeni, Stefano; Meyer-ter-Vehn, Jürgen https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198562641.001.0001	book	January 2004
Early stage of implosion in inertial confinement fusion: Shock timing and perturbation evolution Goncharov, V. N.; Gotchev, O. V.; Vianello, E. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 13, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.2162803	journal	January 2006
Understanding the effects of laser imprint on plastic-target implosions on OMEGA Hu, S. X.; Michel, D. T.; Davis, A. K. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 23, Issue 10, 102701 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4962993	journal	October 2016
Two-dimensional simulations of plastic-shell, direct-drive implosions on OMEGA Radha, P. B.; Goncharov, V. N.; Collins, T. J. B. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 12, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.1857530	journal	March 2005
Laser Compression of Matter to Super-High Densities: Thermonuclear (CTR) Applications Nuckolls, John; Wood, Lowell; Thiessen, Albert Nature, Vol. 239, Issue 5368, p. 139-142 https://doi.org/10.1038/239139a0	journal	September 1972
A measurable Lawson criterion and hydro-equivalent curves for inertial confinement fusion Zhou, C. D.; Betti, R. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 15, Issue 10 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.2998604	journal	October 2008
Measurement of High-Pressure Shock Waves in Cryogenic Deuterium-Tritium Ice Layered Capsule Implosions on NIF Robey, H. F.; Moody, J. D.; Celliers, P. M. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 111, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.111.065003	journal	August 2013
Direct-drive inertial confinement fusion: A review Craxton, R. S.; Anderson, K. S.; Boehly, T. R. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 22, Issue 11 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4934714	journal	November 2015
Probabilistic programming in Python using PyMC3 Salvatier, John; Wiecki, Thomas V.; Fonnesbeck, Christopher PeerJ Computer Science, Vol. 2 https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.55	journal	January 2016
Theory of hydro-equivalent ignition for inertial fusion and its applications to OMEGA and the National Ignition Facility Nora, R.; Betti, R.; Anderson, K. S. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 21, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4875331	journal	May 2014
Origins and Scaling of Hot-Electron Preheat in Ignition-Scale Direct-Drive Inertial Confinement Fusion Experiments Rosenberg, M. J.; Solodov, A. A.; Myatt, J. F. Physical Review Letters, Vol. 120, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.120.055001	journal	January 2018
Inertially confined fusion plasmas dominated by alpha-particle self-heating Hurricane, O. A.; Callahan, D. A.; Casey, D. T. Nature Physics, Vol. 12, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1038/nphys3720	journal	April 2016
Measurements of the ablation-front trajectory and low-mode nonuniformity in direct-drive implosions using x-ray self-emission shadowgraphy Michel, D. T.; Davis, A. K.; Armstrong, W. High Power Laser Science and Engineering, Vol. 3 https://doi.org/10.1017/hpl.2015.15	journal	January 2015
Crossed-beam energy transfer in implosion experiments on OMEGA Igumenshchev, I. V.; Edgell, D. H.; Goncharov, V. N. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 17, Issue 12 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3532817	journal	December 2010
The magnetic recoil spectrometer for measurements of the absolute neutron spectrum at OMEGA and the NIF Casey, D. T.; Frenje, J. A.; Gatu Johnson, M. Review of Scientific Instruments, Vol. 84, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4796042	journal	April 2013

Cited By (5)

The blind implosion-maker: Automated inertial confinement fusion experiment design Hatfield, P. W.; Rose, S. J.; Scott, R. H. H. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 26, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5091985	journal	June 2019
Interpreting the electron temperature inferred from x-ray continuum emission for direct-drive inertial confinement fusion implosions on OMEGA Cao, D.; Shah, R. C.; Regan, S. P. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 26, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5112759	journal	August 2019
Neutron backscatter edge: A measure of the hydrodynamic properties of the dense DT fuel at stagnation in ICF experiments Crilly, A. J.; Appelbe, B. D.; Mannion, O. M. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 27, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5128830	journal	January 2020
Analysis of NIF scaling using physics informed machine learning Hsu, Abigail; Cheng, Baolian; Bradley, Paul A. Physics of Plasmas, Vol. 27, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5130585	journal	January 2020
The Blind Implosion-Maker - Automated Inertial Confinement Fusion experiment design Hatfield, P. W.; Rose, S. J.; Scott, R. H. H. arXiv https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1905.08215	text	January 2019

Similar Records

Tripled yield in direct-drive laser fusion through statistical modelling

Dataset · Mon Mar 11 00:00:00 EDT 2019 · OSTI ID:1493448

Gopalaswamy, V.; Betti, R.; Knauer, J. P.; +51 more

Direct-drive laser-fusion experiments with the OMEGA, 60-beam, {gt}40 kJ, ultraviolet laser system

Journal Article · Wed May 01 00:00:00 EDT 1996 · Physics of Plasmas · OSTI ID:1493448

Soures, J M; McCrory, R L; Verdon, C P; +40 more

Direct-drive laser fusion: status, plans and future

Journal Article · Mon Dec 07 00:00:00 EST 2020 · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. A, Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · OSTI ID:1493448

Campbell, E. M.; Sangster, T. C.; Goncharov, V. N.; +24 more

Related Subjects

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Title: Tripled yield in direct-drive laser fusion through statistical modelling [Tripling the yield in direct-drive laser fusion via predictive statistical modeling]

Citation Formats

References (51)

Cited By (5)

Similar Records

Related Subjects