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Title: Quantifying Load Uncertainty Using Real Smart Meter Data

Conference · · 2020 IEEE International Conference on Communications, Control, and Computing Technologies for Smart Grids (SmartGridComm)

As we get closer to customers in distribution systems, load stochasticity increases. In the past, due to lack of real-time data, the comprehensive knowledge of load behavior was limited, and simplistic assumptions had to be made for distribution system modeling and analysis, especially in the processes of network design and expansion. With the deployment of Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI), ample real-time smart meter data has become available to utilities. In this paper, using real hourly smart meter data, we have quantified load uncertainty in terms of average, maximum and maximum noncoincident demands on a daily basis, as well as load factor and diversity factor. These uncertainty metrics are examined for individual residential, commercial and industrial customers, as well as distribution transformers serving residential customers. This paper provides a benchmark on load uncertainty quantification for practicing engineers and researchers.

Research Organization:
Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
DOE Contract Number:
OE0000875
OSTI ID:
1961214
Journal Information:
2020 IEEE International Conference on Communications, Control, and Computing Technologies for Smart Grids (SmartGridComm), Conference: Tempe, AZ, USA
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (7)

Analysis and Clustering of Residential Customers Energy Behavioral Demand Using Smart Meter Data journal January 2016
A Data-Driven Game-Theoretic Approach for Behind-the-Meter PV Generation Disaggregation journal July 2020
Domestic Load Characterization Through Smart Meter Advance Stratification journal September 2012
Increasing distribution system model accuracy with extensive deployment of smart meters conference July 2014
A Time-Series Distribution Test System Based on Real Utility Data conference October 2019
Uncertainty modeling and prediction for customer load demand in smart grid conference July 2013
A Survey on State Estimation Techniques and Challenges in Smart Distribution Systems journal March 2019

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