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A statistical decision-making model for choosing among multiple alternatives

Published:14 May 2007Publication History

ABSTRACT

Automated agents often have several alternatives to choose from in order to solve a problem. Usually the agent does not know in advance which alternative is the best one, so some exploration is required. However, in most cases there is a cost associated with exploring the domain, which must be minimized in order to be worthwhile. We concentrate on cases where the agent has some prior knowledge about each alternative, which is expressed in terms of units of information. A unit of information about an alternative is the result of choosing the alternative - for example, in the e-commerce domain one unit of information can be a customer's impression or feedback about a supplier; in the heuristic domain one unit of information can be the observed result of running one simulation with a given heuristic function. In our environments the agent has a-priori only a small number of units of information about each alternative, and it would like to use this knowledge in deciding between its alternatives. Nevertheless, since the agent has only a limited number of units of information, deciding between the alternatives solely based on these units may be risky. In extreme cases, they can even mislead the agent to choose the worst alternative rather than the best one.

References

  1. R. Azoulay-Schwartz and S. Kraus. Acquiring an optimal amount of information for choosing from alternatives. In Proceedings of the 6th International Workshop on Cooperative Information Agents VI, pages 123--137, 2002. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  2. S. Talman, R. Toester, and S. Kraus. Choosing between heuristics and strategies: an enhanced model for decision-making. In Proceedings of the International Joint Conference of Artificial Intelligence, pages 324--330, 2005. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library

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  1. A statistical decision-making model for choosing among multiple alternatives

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    • Published in

      cover image ACM Other conferences
      AAMAS '07: Proceedings of the 6th international joint conference on Autonomous agents and multiagent systems
      May 2007
      1585 pages
      ISBN:9788190426275
      DOI:10.1145/1329125

      Copyright © 2007 ACM

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      Association for Computing Machinery

      New York, NY, United States

      Publication History

      • Published: 14 May 2007

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      Overall Acceptance Rate1,155of5,036submissions,23%

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