skip to main content
10.1145/1542130.1542159acmconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PagescprConference Proceedingsconference-collections
research-article

A necessary clarification of the unfolding model of voluntary turnover

Published: 28 May 2009 Publication History

Abstract

The unfolding model of voluntary turnover, as tested by Niederman et al. [1], surprisingly appears to only capture 12% of the job leavers in IT, whereas when applied to other occupational groups, such as accountant or nurses, this ratio is much higher (respectively 92% and 77%). To address this issue, we take a closer look at the classification rules of the original model and we clarify them, highlighting the discrepancy between figure 1 of Lee et al. [2] and their written explanations, [3], [2]. Acknowledging a lack of clarity of those rules, we clarify the meaning of the logical impossibility of the joint existence of an engaged script with a search/evaluation of alternatives. In addition, we discuss the path-switching approach, [3]. Considering this clarification of the classification rules, we recalculate the results of two previous studies ([1] [4]) and we compare and assess those results with the other replications of the model. Those results suggest that a more parsimonious model (i.e. only path 1, 3 and 4b, with engaged script only present in path 1) may be sufficient to capture the majority of those leaving jobs in IT (74% and above).

References

[1]
Niederman, F., Sumner, M., and Maertz, C. 2007. Testing and extending the unfolding model of voluntary turnover to it professionals. Human Resource Management Journal, 46(3): p. 331--347.
[2]
Lee, T.W., Mitchell, T.R., Holtom, B.C., McDaniel, L.S., and Hill, J.W. 1999.The unfolding model of voluntary turnover: a replication and extension. Academy of Management Journal, 42(4): p. 450--462.
[3]
Lee, T.W., Mitchell, T.R., Wise, L., and Fireman, S. 1996. An unfolding model of voluntary employee turnover. Academy of Management Journal, 39(1): p. 5--36.
[4]
Holt, D.T., Rehg, M.T., Lin, J.H., and Miller, J. 2007. An application of the unfolding model to explain turnover in a sample of military officers. Human Resource Management, 46(1): p. 35.
[5]
Lee, T.W. and Mitchell, T.R. 1994. An alternative approach: the unfolding model of voluntary employee turnover. The Academy of Management Review, 19(1): p. 51--89.
[6]
Joseph, D., Kok-Yee, N., Koh, C., and Soon, A. 2007.Turnover of information technology professionals: a narrative review, meta-analytic structural equation modeling, and model development. MIS Quarterly, 31(3): p. 547--577.
[7]
Lee, T.W. and Maurer, S.D. 1997.The retention of knowledge workers with the unfolding model of voluntary turnover. Human Resource Management Review, 7(3): p. 247.
[8]
Mourmant, G. and Gallivan, M. How personality type influences decision paths in the unfolding model of voluntary job turnover: an application to IS professionals. In 2007 ACM SIGMIS CPR conference on 2007 computer personnel doctoral consortium and research conference: The global Information Technology Workforce 2007. St. Louis, Missouri, USA ACM Press.
[9]
Morrell, K., Loan-Clarke, J., and Wilkinson, A. 2004. The role of shocks in employee turnover. British Journal of Management, 15(4): p. 335--349.
[10]
Holtom, B.C., Mitchell, T.R., Lee, T.W., and Inderrieden, E.J. 2005. Shocks as causes of turnover: what they are and how organizations can manage them. Human Resource Management, 44(3): p. 337.
[11]
Morrell, K. 2004. Enhancing effective careers thinking: scripts and Socrates. British Journal of Guidance & Counselling, 32(4): p. 547--558.
[12]
Maertz, C.P. and Campion, M.A. 2004. Profiles in quitting: integrating process and content turnover theory. Academy of Management journal, 47(4): p. 566.
[13]
Tae Heon, L.E.E., Gerhart, B., Weller, I., and Trevor, C.O. 2008. Understanding voluntary turnover: path-specific job satisfaction effects and the importance of unsolicited job offers. Academy of Management Journal, 51(4): p. 651--671.
[14]
Kammeyer-Mueller, J.D., Wanberg, C.R., Glomb, T.M., and Ahlburg, D. 2005. The role of temporal shifts in turnover processes: it's about time. Journal of Applied Psychology, 90(4): p. 644--658.
[15]
Morrell, K., Loan-Clarke, J., Arnold, J., and Wilkinson, A. 2008. Mapping the decision to quit: a refinement and test of the unfolding model of voluntary turnover. Applied Psychology, 57(1): p. 128--150.
[16]
Davis, J.B. 2008 The impact of natural disasters on employee turnover: the shocks and after-shocks of hurricane Katrina on it professionals. Doctoral Thesis. Louisiana State University
[17]
Donnelly, D.P. and Quirin, J.J. 2006. An extension of Lee and Mitchell's unfolding model of voluntary turnover. Journal of Organizational Behavior, 27(1): p. 59--77.
[18]
Farber, H.S., Are Lifetime Jobs Disappearing? Job Duration in the United States: 1973--1993., in Labor Statistics Measurement Issues. 1998, Cambridge, MA : National Bureau of Economic Research.
[19]
Eden, D. 2002.From the Editors: Replication, Meta-Analysis, Scientific Progress, and AMJ's Publication Policy. Academy of Management Journal, 45(5): p. 841.

Cited By

View all
  • (2019)Should I stay or should I go? understanding employees’ decisions to leave after mergers in Hong Kong’s banking industryAsia Pacific Journal of Management10.1007/s10490-018-9610-zOnline publication date: 17-Jun-2019
  • (2016)Research Note—Designing Promotion Ladders to Mitigate Turnover of IT ProfessionalsInformation Systems Research10.1287/isre.2016.065227:3(648-660)Online publication date: Sep-2016

Index Terms

  1. A necessary clarification of the unfolding model of voluntary turnover

    Recommendations

    Comments

    Information & Contributors

    Information

    Published In

    cover image ACM Conferences
    SIGMIS CPR '09: Proceedings of the special interest group on management information system's 47th annual conference on Computer personnel research
    May 2009
    242 pages
    ISBN:9781605584270
    DOI:10.1145/1542130
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

    Sponsors

    Publisher

    Association for Computing Machinery

    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 28 May 2009

    Permissions

    Request permissions for this article.

    Check for updates

    Author Tags

    1. classification
    2. job turnover
    3. unfolding model of job turnover

    Qualifiers

    • Research-article

    Conference

    SIGMIS-CPR '09
    Sponsor:

    Acceptance Rates

    Overall Acceptance Rate 300 of 480 submissions, 63%

    Contributors

    Other Metrics

    Bibliometrics & Citations

    Bibliometrics

    Article Metrics

    • Downloads (Last 12 months)10
    • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)1
    Reflects downloads up to 02 Mar 2025

    Other Metrics

    Citations

    Cited By

    View all
    • (2019)Should I stay or should I go? understanding employees’ decisions to leave after mergers in Hong Kong’s banking industryAsia Pacific Journal of Management10.1007/s10490-018-9610-zOnline publication date: 17-Jun-2019
    • (2016)Research Note—Designing Promotion Ladders to Mitigate Turnover of IT ProfessionalsInformation Systems Research10.1287/isre.2016.065227:3(648-660)Online publication date: Sep-2016

    View Options

    Login options

    View options

    PDF

    View or Download as a PDF file.

    PDF

    eReader

    View online with eReader.

    eReader

    Figures

    Tables

    Media

    Share

    Share

    Share this Publication link

    Share on social media