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Am I failing this course?: risk prediction using e-learning data

Published:07 October 2015Publication History

ABSTRACT

The inclusion of e-learning platforms in the traditional education allows obtaining a lot of data about the students' behavior. Studying these data using data mining and learning analytics techniques allows detecting different behavior patterns and predicting future results. One of the big challenges in education is being able to predict the students' failure before it occurs, and avoid it. Being aware of this challenge, and inside the learning analytics context, this paper describes a detection risk algorithm that tries to detect the students who are at risk of failing the course based on their interaction with an e-learning platform. The algorithm is based on time series formed by the daily students' interactions with the platform. More concretely, the trend component of the time series is used as a predictor for the students' results. We apply our algorithm to one course of the 2nd-year of the Telecommunication Engineering Degree at the University of Vigo, obtaining some encouraging results.

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  1. Am I failing this course?: risk prediction using e-learning data

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            TEEM '15: Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Technological Ecosystems for Enhancing Multiculturality
            October 2015
            674 pages
            ISBN:9781450334426
            DOI:10.1145/2808580

            Copyright © 2015 ACM

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            Association for Computing Machinery

            New York, NY, United States

            Publication History

            • Published: 7 October 2015

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