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Combining Propensity and Influence Models for Product Adoption Prediction

Published:25 August 2015Publication History

ABSTRACT

This paper studies the problem of selecting users in an online social network for targeted advertising so as to maximize the adoption of a given product. In previous work, two families of models have been considered to address this problem: direct targeting and network-based targeting. The former approach targets users with the highest propensity to adopt the product, while the latter approach targets users with the highest influence potential -- that is users whose adoption is most likely to be followed by subsequent adoptions by peers. This paper proposes a hybrid approach that combines a notion of propensity and a notion of influence into a single utility function. We show that targeting a fixed number of high-utility users results in more adoptions than targeting either highly influential users or users with high propensity.

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  1. Combining Propensity and Influence Models for Product Adoption Prediction

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      • Published in

        cover image ACM Conferences
        ASONAM '15: Proceedings of the 2015 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining 2015
        August 2015
        835 pages
        ISBN:9781450338547
        DOI:10.1145/2808797

        Copyright © 2015 ACM

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        • Published: 25 August 2015

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