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The Impact of Structured Event Embeddings on Scalable Stock Forecasting Models

Published: 27 October 2015 Publication History

Abstract

According to the efficient market hypothesis, financial prices are unpredictable. However, meaningful advances have been achieved on anticipating market movements using machine learning techniques. In this work, we propose a novel method to represent the input for a stock price forecaster. The forecaster is able to predict stock prices from time series and additional information from web pages. Such information is extracted as structured events and represented in a compressed concept space. By using such representation with scalable forecasters, we reduced prediction error by about 10%, when compared to the traditional auto regressive models.

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Cited By

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  • (2022)A Review of Sentiment, Semantic and Event-Extraction-Based Approaches in Stock ForecastingMathematics10.3390/math1014243710:14(2437)Online publication date: 13-Jul-2022
  • (2022)Machine learning models predicting returnsExpert Systems with Applications: An International Journal10.1016/j.eswa.2022.116970199:COnline publication date: 23-May-2022
  • (2021)Event Attention Network for Stock Trend Prediction2021 International Conference on Service Science (ICSS)10.1109/ICSS53362.2021.00019(70-75)Online publication date: May-2021
  • Show More Cited By

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  1. The Impact of Structured Event Embeddings on Scalable Stock Forecasting Models

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      cover image ACM Other conferences
      WebMedia '15: Proceedings of the 21st Brazilian Symposium on Multimedia and the Web
      October 2015
      266 pages
      ISBN:9781450339599
      DOI:10.1145/2820426
      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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      • CYTED: Ciência Y Tecnologia Para El Desarrollo
      • SBC: Brazilian Computer Society
      • FAPEAM: Fundacao de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado do Amazonas
      • CNPq: Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecn
      • CGIBR: Comite Gestor da Internet no Brazil
      • CAPES: Brazilian Higher Education Funding Council

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      Association for Computing Machinery

      New York, NY, United States

      Publication History

      Published: 27 October 2015

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      Author Tags

      1. deep learning
      2. natural language processing
      3. open information extraction
      4. stocks forecast

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      Webmedia '15
      Sponsor:
      • CYTED
      • SBC
      • FAPEAM
      • CNPq
      • CGIBR
      • CAPES

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      WebMedia '15 Paper Acceptance Rate 21 of 61 submissions, 34%;
      Overall Acceptance Rate 270 of 873 submissions, 31%

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      Cited By

      View all
      • (2022)A Review of Sentiment, Semantic and Event-Extraction-Based Approaches in Stock ForecastingMathematics10.3390/math1014243710:14(2437)Online publication date: 13-Jul-2022
      • (2022)Machine learning models predicting returnsExpert Systems with Applications: An International Journal10.1016/j.eswa.2022.116970199:COnline publication date: 23-May-2022
      • (2021)Event Attention Network for Stock Trend Prediction2021 International Conference on Service Science (ICSS)10.1109/ICSS53362.2021.00019(70-75)Online publication date: May-2021
      • (2019)EANProceedings of the 10th ACM Conference on Web Science10.1145/3292522.3326014(311-320)Online publication date: 26-Jun-2019

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