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Neural network model with Monte Carlo algorithm for electricity demand forecasting in Queensland

Published: 31 January 2017 Publication History

Abstract

With the rapid growth over the past few decades, people are consuming more and more electrical energies. In order to solve the contradiction between supply and demand to minimize electricity cost, it is necessary and useful to predict the electricity demand. In this paper, we apply an improved neural network algorithm to forecast the electricity, and we test it on a collected electricity demand data set in Queensland to verify its performance. There are two contributions in this paper. Firstly, comparing with backpropagation (BP) neural network, the results show a better performance on this improved neural network. Secondly, the performance on various hidden layers shows that different dimension of hidden layer in this improved neural network has little impact on the Queensland's electricity demand forecasting.

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    cover image ACM Other conferences
    ACSW '17: Proceedings of the Australasian Computer Science Week Multiconference
    January 2017
    615 pages
    ISBN:9781450347686
    DOI:10.1145/3014812
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    Publication History

    Published: 31 January 2017

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    Author Tags

    1. BP neural network
    2. electricity demand forecasting
    3. improved neural network

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    ACSW 2017
    ACSW 2017: Australasian Computer Science Week 2017
    January 30 - February 3, 2017
    Geelong, Australia

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    ACSW '17 Paper Acceptance Rate 78 of 156 submissions, 50%;
    Overall Acceptance Rate 204 of 424 submissions, 48%

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    • (2023)Efficient daily electricity demand prediction with hybrid deep-learning multi-algorithm approachEnergy Conversion and Management10.1016/j.enconman.2023.117707297(117707)Online publication date: Dec-2023
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