skip to main content
10.1145/3025453.3025858acmconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PageschiConference Proceedingsconference-collections
research-article

The (Un)sustainability of Imagined Future Information Societies

Published:02 May 2017Publication History

ABSTRACT

The pathway to a sustainable society is not clear, and we need to consider different developmental possibilities. This paper describes the results of a research project in the intersection of HCI and Futures Studies as well as in the intersection between "the future information society" and sustainability. We here present parts of the body of materials that were developed in a multi-year research project with the aim of describing and evaluating the sustainability impact of possible future information societies. We also discuss some of the lessons learned and what HCI and design fiction can learn from Futures Studies in general and from this project in particular. The main stakeholders in this project have been city administrators and corporate partners, and the overarching goal has primarily been to influence planning processes at the regional (Stockholm, Sweden) level.

References

  1. Amara, A. (1981). The futures field: searching for definitions and boundaries, The Futurist 15 (1), 25--29.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  2. Andersson, J. (2006). Choosing Futures: Alva Myrdal and the Construction of Swedish Futures Studies, 1967 -- 1972. Int Review of Social History 51:277--295. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  3. Arushanyan, Y., Ekener Petersen, E., Moberg, A., & Coroama, V. C. (2015). A framework for sustainability assessment of ICT futures Scenarios and sustainability impacts of future ICT-societies. In Proc ICT4S'15. Atlantis Press, 1--9. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  4. Arushanyan, Y. (2016). Environmental impacts of ICT: present and future. PhD thesis, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  5. Arushanyan, Y., Ekener, E., & Moberg, Å. (2017). Sustainability assessment framework for scenarios-- SAFS. Env Impact Assessment Review, 63, 23--34. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  6. Baumer, E.P., Ahn, J., Bie, M., Bonsignore, B., Borutecene, A., Buruk, O.T., Clegg, T., Druin, A., Echtler, F., Gruen, D., Guha, M. L., Hordatt, C., Kruger, A., Maidenbaum, S., Malu, M., McNally, B., Muller, M., Norooz, L., Norton, J., Özcan, O., Patterson, D., Riener, A., Ross, S., Rust, K., Schoening, J., Silberman, M. S., Tomlinson, B., and Yip, J. (2014). CHI 2039: Speculative Research Visions. In Proc CHI'14. ACM, 761--770. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  7. Bell, G., & Dourish, P. (2007). Yesterday's tomorrows: notes on ubiquitous computing's dominant vision. Personal and ubiquitous computing, 11(2), 133--143. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  8. Bell, W. (2003) Foundations of futures studies: human science for a new era. vol. 1, History, purposes, and knowledge. New Brunswick, NJ Transaction Publishers.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  9. Bell, W. and Olick, J.K. (1989) An epistemology for the future field: problems and possibilities of prediction. Futures 21 (2): 115--135. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  10. Beniger, J.R. (1986). The control revolution: Technological and economic origins of the information society. Harvard University Press.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  11. Bleecker, J. (2009). Design Fiction: A short essay on design, science, fact and fiction. Near Future Laboratory, 29.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  12. Blythe, M. (2014). Research through design fiction: narrative in real and imaginary abstracts. In Proc. CHI'14. ACM, 703--712. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  13. Blythe, M., Andersen, K., Clarke, R., and Wright, P. (2016). Anti-Solutionist Strategies: Seriously Silly Design Fiction. In Proc. CHI'16. ACM, 4968--4978. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  14. Blythe, M., & Buie, E. (2014). Chatbots of the gods: imaginary abstracts for techno-spirituality research. In Proc of NordiCHI'14. ACM, 227--236. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  15. Brand, S. (1988). The Media Lab: Inventing the future at M.I.T. New York: Penguin Books.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  16. Brundtland, G. (1987). Our common future: The world commission on environment and development. Oxford: Oxford University PressGoogle ScholarGoogle Scholar
  17. Börjeson, L., M. Höjer, K.-H. Dreborg, T. Ekvall and G. Finnveden (2006). Scenario types and techniques: Towards a user's guide. Futures 38:723--739. Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  18. Carlsson-Kanyama, A., Dreborg, K.-H., Eenkhorn, B. R., Engström, R., Falkena, H. J., Gatersleben, B., et al. (2003). Images of everyday life in the future sustainable city: experiences of back-casting with stakeholders in five European cities. FMS Report 182.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  19. Carr, N. (2010). The Shallows: What the Internet Is Doing to Our Brains. W. W. Norton.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  20. Carroll, J.M. in Helander, M., Landauer, T.K. and Prabhu, P., eds., (1999). Handbook of Human-Computer Interaction. Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  21. Cornish, E. (1977). The study of the Future -- An Introduction to the Art and Science of Understanding and Shaping Tomorrow's Worlds. World Future Society.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  22. Denning, P. J., & Metcalfe, R. M. (1998). Beyond calculation: The next fifty years of computing. Springer Science & Business Media.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  23. DiSalvo, C., Lukens, J., Lodato, T., Jenkins, T., and Kim, T. (2014). Making public things: how HCI design can express matters of concern. In Proc. CHI'14. ACM, 2397--2406. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  24. Dourish, P., & Bell, G. (2014). "Resistance is futile": reading science fiction alongside ubiquitous computing. Personal and Ubiquitous Computing, 18(4), 769--778. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  25. Eriksson, E., Artman, H. and Swartling, A. (2013). The secret life of a persona: When the personal becomes private. In Proc. CHI'13. ACM, 2677--2686. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  26. Eriksson, E., Pargman, D., Bates, O., Normark, M., Gulliksen, J., Anneroth, M., & Berndtsson, J. (2016). HCI and UN's Sustainable Development Goals: Responsibilities, Barriers and Opportunities. In Proc NordiCHI'14. ACM, Article No. 140. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  27. Gershenfeld, N. (1999). When things start to think. Macmillan.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  28. Gunn, E. (2014). How America's leading science fiction authors are shaping your future. Smithsonian Magazine.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  29. Hauser, S., Desjardins, A., and Wakkary, R. SFUture: envisioning a sustainable university campus in 2065. (2014). In Proc. DIS'14. ACM, 29--32.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  30. Helbing, D. (2014). Crystal Ball and Magic Wand - the Dangerous Promise of Big Data (Chapter 3 of Digital Society. Digital Society, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2502561Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  31. Höjer, M., Gullberg, A., and Pettersson, R. (2011). Images of the future city -- time and space for sustainable development. Springer. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  32. Ilstedt, S. and Wangel, J. Altering expectations: how design fictions and backcasting can leverage sustainable lifestyles. (2014). In Proc DRS 2014.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  33. Inayatullah, S., (1990). Deconstructing and Reconstructing the Future: Predictive, Cultural and Critical Epistemologies. Futures, 22(2), 115--141. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  34. Janssen, M., Matheus, R., & Zuiderwijk, A. (2015). Big and Open Linked Data (BOLD) to Create Smart Cities and Citizens: Insights from Smart Energy and Mobility Cases: In Int Conf on Electronic Government. Springer International Publishing, 79--90.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  35. Joshi, S., Cerratto Pargman, T., Gazis, A. and Pargman, D. (2016). Whose future is it anyway?: Limits within Policy Modeling. In Proc. LIMITS'16. ACM. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  36. Kirman, B., Linehan, C., Lawson, S., & O'Hara, D. (2013). CHI and the future robot enslavement of humankind: a retrospective. In CHI'13 Extended Abstracts. ACM, 2199--2208. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  37. Koselleck, R. (1979/2004). Futures past: on the semantics of historical time. New York: Columbia University Press.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  38. Kurzweil, R. (2000). The age of spiritual machines: When computers exceed human intelligence. Penguin.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  39. Kurzweil, R. (2005). The singularity is near: When humans transcend biology. Penguin.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  40. Larsen, K. & Gunnarsson-Östling, U. (2009). Climate change scenarios and citizen-participation: Mitigation and adaptation perspectives in constructing sustainable futures. Habitat International 33(3), 260--266. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  41. Linehan, C., Kirman, B.J., Reeves, S., Blythe, M.A., Tanenbaum, J.G., Desjardins, A., and Wakkary, R. (2014). Alternate endings: using fiction to explore design futures. In Proc. CHI'14. ACM, 45--48. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  42. Mankoff, J., Rode, J. A., & Faste, H. (2013). Looking past yesterday's tomorrow: using futures studies methods to extend the research horizon. In Proc CHI'13. ACM, 1629--1638. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  43. Meyerson, D. E., & Scully, M. A. (1995). Tempered radicalism and the politics of ambivalence and change. Organization Science, 6(5), 585--600 Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  44. Pargman, D., & Raghavan, B. (2014). Rethinking sustainability in computing: From buzzword to nonnegotiable limits. In Proc NordiCHI'14. ACM, 638647. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  45. Penzenstadler, B., Tomlinson, B., Baumer, E., Pufal, M., Raturi, A., Richardson, D., Cakici, B., Chitchyan, R., Da Costa, B., Dombrowski, L., Picha Edwardsson, M., Eriksson, E., Franch, X., Hayes, G.R., Herzog, C., Lohmann, W., Mahaux, M., Mavin, A., Mazmanian, M., Nayebaziz, S., Norton, J., Pargman, D., Patterson, D.J., Pierson, J, Roher, K., Silberman, M.S., Simonson, K., Torrance, A.W., and van der Hoek, A. (2014). ICT4S 2029: What will be the systems supporting sustainability in 15 years? In Proc ICT4S'14. Atlantis Press. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  46. Prost, S., Mattheiss, E., and Tscheligi, M. From Awareness to Empowerment: Using Design Fiction to Explore Paths towards a Sustainable Energy Future. (2015). In Proc CSCW'15. ACM,1649--1658.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  47. Robinson, J. (2003). Future subjunctive: backcasting as social learning. Futures, 35(8), 839--856. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  48. Svenfelt, Å. (2010). Two strategies to deal with uncertainty in social-ecological systems. PhD thesis, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  49. Svenfelt, Å. Engström, R., & Höjer, M. (2010). Use of explorative scenarios in environmental policymaking?Evaluation of policy instruments for management of land, water and built environment. Futures 42(10), 1166--1175. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  50. Svenfelt Å. and Höjer, M. (2012) Framtidsstudier och osäkerheter [Futures studies and uncertanties]. In Alm, S., Westholm, E. and Palme, J. (eds) Att utforska framtiden [Exploring the future]. Dialogos, StockholmGoogle ScholarGoogle Scholar
  51. Tanenbaum, J., Tanenbaum, K., & Wakkary, R. (2012). Design fictions. In Proc TEI'12. ACM, 347350. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  52. Tanenbaum, J. (2014). Design fictional interactions: why HCI should care about stories. Interactions, 21(5), 22--23. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  53. Tanenbaum, J., Pufal, M. and Tanenbaum, K. (2016). The Limits of Our Imagination: Design Fiction As a Strategy for Engaging with Dystopian Futures. In Proc LIMITS'16. ACM. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  54. Tapio, P., Höjer, M., Svenfelt, Å., & Varho, V. (2014) Exploring the space of alternatives: Heuristics in sustainability scenarios. In Huutoniemi, K. and Tapio, P. (Eds) Transdisciplinary Sustainability Studies: A Heuristic Approach. Routledge.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  55. Turkle, S. (1995). Life on the Screen: Identity in the Age of the Internet. Simon & Schuster.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  56. Turkle, S. (2011). Alone together: Why we expect more from technology and less from each other. Basic books.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  57. Turoff, M., & Hiltz, S. R. (1978). The network nation: Human communication via computer. Reading, PA: Addison-Wesley.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  58. Wack, P. (1985). Scenarios: shooting the rapids. Harvard Business Review, 63(6), 139--150.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  59. Wakkary, R., Desjardins, A., Hauser, S., & Maestri, L. (2013). A sustainable design fiction: Green practices. ACM TOCHI, 20(4), 23. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  60. Wallace, P. (2015). The psychology of the Internet. Cambridge University Press.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  61. Wangel, J. (2012). Making futures: on targets, measures and governance in backcasting and planning. Doctoral Thesis. KTH Royal Institute of Technology.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  62. Weiser, M. (1991). The computer for the 21st century. Scientific American, 265 (3), 66--75. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  63. Åkerman, J. and Höjer, M. (2006). How much transport can the climate stand? Sweden on a sustainable path in 2050. Energy Policy 34(14), 19441957. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref

Index Terms

  1. The (Un)sustainability of Imagined Future Information Societies

    Recommendations

    Comments

    Login options

    Check if you have access through your login credentials or your institution to get full access on this article.

    Sign in
    • Published in

      cover image ACM Conferences
      CHI '17: Proceedings of the 2017 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems
      May 2017
      7138 pages
      ISBN:9781450346559
      DOI:10.1145/3025453

      Copyright © 2017 ACM

      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

      Publisher

      Association for Computing Machinery

      New York, NY, United States

      Publication History

      • Published: 2 May 2017

      Permissions

      Request permissions about this article.

      Request Permissions

      Check for updates

      Qualifiers

      • research-article

      Acceptance Rates

      CHI '17 Paper Acceptance Rate600of2,400submissions,25%Overall Acceptance Rate6,199of26,314submissions,24%

      Upcoming Conference

      CHI '24
      CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems
      May 11 - 16, 2024
      Honolulu , HI , USA

    PDF Format

    View or Download as a PDF file.

    PDF

    eReader

    View online with eReader.

    eReader