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DeepCrime: Attentive Hierarchical Recurrent Networks for Crime Prediction

Published: 17 October 2018 Publication History

Abstract

As urban crimes (e.g., burglary and robbery) negatively impact our everyday life and must be addressed in a timely manner, predicting crime occurrences is of great importance for public safety and urban sustainability. However, existing methods do not fully explore dynamic crime patterns as factors underlying crimes may change over time. In this paper, we develop a new crime prediction framework--DeepCrime, a deep neural network architecture that uncovers dynamic crime patterns and carefully explores the evolving inter-dependencies between crimes and other ubiquitous data in urban space. Furthermore, our DeepCrime framework is capable of automatically capturing the relevance of crime occurrences across different time periods. In particular, our DeepCrime framework enables predicting crime occurrences of different categories in each region of a city by i) jointly embedding all spatial, temporal, and categorical signals into hidden representation vectors, and ii) capturing crime dynamics with an attentive hierarchical recurrent network. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of our framework over many competitive baselines across various settings.

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      cover image ACM Conferences
      CIKM '18: Proceedings of the 27th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
      October 2018
      2362 pages
      ISBN:9781450360142
      DOI:10.1145/3269206
      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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      Published: 17 October 2018

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      Author Tags

      1. attention model
      2. crime prediction
      3. deep learning
      4. spatio-temporal data mining
      5. urban computing

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      • National Science Foundation (NSF) Grants
      • National Natural Science Foundation of China

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      CIKM '18 Paper Acceptance Rate 147 of 826 submissions, 18%;
      Overall Acceptance Rate 1,861 of 8,427 submissions, 22%

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      • (2025)Deep learning for cross-domain data fusion in urban computing: Taxonomy, advances, and outlookInformation Fusion10.1016/j.inffus.2024.102606113(102606)Online publication date: Jan-2025
      • (2025)MRAGNN: Refining urban spatio-temporal prediction of crime occurrence with multi-type crime correlation learningExpert Systems with Applications10.1016/j.eswa.2024.125940265(125940)Online publication date: Mar-2025
      • (2024)Empirical and Experimental Insights into Data Mining Techniques for Crime Prediction: A Comprehensive SurveyACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology10.1145/369951516:2(1-75)Online publication date: 7-Oct-2024
      • (2024)HDM-GNN: A Heterogeneous Dynamic Multi-view Graph Neural Network for Crime PredictionACM Transactions on Sensor Networks10.1145/3665141Online publication date: 14-May-2024
      • (2024)DiffCrime: A Multimodal Conditional Diffusion Model for Crime Risk Map InferenceProceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining10.1145/3637528.3671843(3212-3221)Online publication date: 25-Aug-2024
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      • (2024)Crime Prediction Using Spatial-Temporal Synchronous Graph Convolutional Networks2024 11th International Conference on Soft Computing & Machine Intelligence (ISCMI)10.1109/ISCMI63661.2024.10851671(129-133)Online publication date: 22-Nov-2024
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