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A Complicated Security Assessment Model Consisting of the SIS Model and Entropy Weight Method for Evaluating the Climate Change

Published: 06 November 2018 Publication History

Abstract

In the domain of research on climate change, the study of its impact on national security has drawn a surge of interests in recent years. Therefore, it is essential to develop a model which can determine a country's stability level, especially for the weak country, and simultaneously measure the influence of climate change. However, most of the current assessment models focus on the changes in objective factors (e.g., climate) but ignore the influence of state managers' initiative. To remedy the drawback, this paper proposes a national security assessment model which takes the climate impacts, national governance capacity and the initial condition of state into consideration. Further, three metrics are qualified by the Entropy method, including the Climate Change Index, the National Governance Influence Index and the Initial Fragility Condition. Then, the entropy method is employed to calculate abovementioned metrics precisely. Subsequently, after determining the value of the abovementioned metrics, the SIS mode is introduced to qualify the safety level of a country through differential equations. Finally, the model is further verified by a series of experiments and related discussions are concluded.

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  1. A Complicated Security Assessment Model Consisting of the SIS Model and Entropy Weight Method for Evaluating the Climate Change

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    Safety and Resilience'18: Proceedings of the 4th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Workshop on Safety and Resilience
    November 2018
    129 pages
    ISBN:9781450360449
    DOI:10.1145/3284103
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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    Published: 06 November 2018

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    Author Tags

    1. Climate Change Index
    2. Entropy Method
    3. National Governance Index
    4. State Security

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    Safety and Resilience'18 Paper Acceptance Rate 22 of 38 submissions, 58%;
    Overall Acceptance Rate 22 of 38 submissions, 58%

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