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Risk Assessment Method for Distribution Network Based on Probabilistic Load Flow

Published: 30 May 2020 Publication History

Abstract

In order to explore the influence of multiple wind turbines with correlation on distribution network and reasonably evaluate the operation state of distribution network, a probabilistic load flow calculation method based on orthogonal transformation and cumulant method is proposed. Firstly, an appropriate Copula function is chosen to depict the correlation of wind turbines outputs using rank correlation coefficient and squared Euclidean distance. Secondly, orthogonal transformation is used to transform the correlated power outputs into uncorrelated variables. Finally, the cumulant method combined with Cornish-Fisher expansion is applied to calculate the probability distributions of node voltage and branch current, and the risk assessment of the operating state of distribution network is carried out. The accuracy and rapidity of proposed method are verified by comparison with Monte Carlo method on a typical 34-node system.

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ICITEE '19: Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Information Technologies and Electrical Engineering
December 2019
870 pages
ISBN:9781450372930
DOI:10.1145/3386415
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 30 May 2020

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Author Tags

  1. Cumulant method
  2. Distribution network
  3. Orthogonal transformation
  4. Probabilistic load flow
  5. Risk assessment

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