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Explainable Demand Forecasting: A Data Mining Goldmine

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Published:03 June 2021Publication History

ABSTRACT

Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. Value is provided to the organization through accurate forecasts and insights into the reasons driving the forecasts to increase confidence and assist decision-making. In this Ph.D., we aim to develop state-of-the-art demand forecasting models for irregular demand, develop explainability mechanisms to avoid exposing models fine-grained information regarding the model features, create a recommender system to assist users on decision-making and develop mechanisms to enrich knowledge graphs with feedback provided by the users through artificial intelligence-powered feedback modules. We have already developed models for accurate forecasts regarding steady and irregular demand and architecture to provide forecast explanations that preserve sensitive information regarding model features. These explanations highlighting real-world events that provide insights on the general context captured through the dataset features while highlighting actionable items and suggesting datasets for future data enrichment.

References

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  • Published in

    cover image ACM Conferences
    WWW '21: Companion Proceedings of the Web Conference 2021
    April 2021
    726 pages
    ISBN:9781450383134
    DOI:10.1145/3442442

    Copyright © 2021 ACM

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    Association for Computing Machinery

    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    • Published: 3 June 2021

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    Overall Acceptance Rate1,899of8,196submissions,23%

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