skip to main content
10.1145/3449726.3459473acmconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PagesgeccoConference Proceedingsconference-collections
poster

Resource planning for hospitals under special consideration of the COVID-19 pandemic: optimization and sensitivity analysis

Published: 08 July 2021 Publication History

Abstract

Pandemics pose a serious challenge to health-care institutions. To support the resource planning of health authorities from the Cologne region, BaBSim.Hospital, a tool for capacity planning based on discrete event simulation, was created. The predictive quality of the simulation is determined by 29 parameters with reasonable default values obtained in discussions with medical professionals. We aim to investigate and optimize these parameters to improve BaBSim.Hospital using a surrogate-based optimization approach and an in-depth sensitivity analysis.

References

[1]
T. Bartz-Beielstein et al. 2017. In a Nutshell: Sequential Parameter Optimization. Technical Report. TH Köln.
[2]
T. Bartz-Beielstein et al. 2020. Optimization of High-dimensional Simulation Models Using Synthetic Data. arXiv e-prints (Sept. 2020), arXiv:2009.02781.
[3]
L. Breiman. 2001. Random forests. Machine learning 45, 1 (2001), 5--32.
[4]
A. Forrester et al. 2008. Engineering Design via Surrogate Modelling. Wiley, New York, NY.
[5]
M. C. Fu. 1994. Optimization via simulation: A review. Annals of Operations Research 53, 1 (1994), 199--247.
[6]
T. Lawton and M. McCooe. 2019. Policy: A novel modelling technique to predict resource -requirements in critical care - a case study. Future Healthcare Journal 6, 1 (2019), 17--20. https://www.rcpjournals.org/content/6/1/17
[7]
T. M. A. Mahmoud et al. 2020. Forecasting of COVID-19 in Egypt and Oman using Modified SEIR and Logistic Growth Models. In 2020 2nd Novel Intelligent and Leading Emerging Sciences Conference (NILES). IEEE, Giza, Egypt, 606--611.
[8]
M. D. McKay et al. 1979. Comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code. Technometrics 21, 2 (1979), 239--245.
[9]
A. Saltelli et al. 2008. Global Sensitivity Analysis. Wiley, Chichester, England.
[10]
I. Ucar et al. 2019. simmer: Discrete-Event Simulation for R. Journal of Statistical Software, Articles 90, 2 (2019), 1--30.

Cited By

View all
  • (2024)Performance Comparison of Surrogate-Assisted Evolutionary Algorithms on Computational Fluid Dynamics ProblemsParallel Problem Solving from Nature – PPSN XVIII10.1007/978-3-031-70068-2_19(303-321)Online publication date: 7-Sep-2024
  • (2023)ApplicationEnhancing Surrogate-Based Optimization Through Parallelization10.1007/978-3-031-30609-9_4(95-107)Online publication date: 30-May-2023
  • (2022)Integrating computer simulation and the normalized normal constraint method to plan a temporary hospital for COVID-19 patientsJournal of the Operational Research Society10.1080/01605682.2022.208398974:2(562-573)Online publication date: 11-Jun-2022

Recommendations

Comments

Information & Contributors

Information

Published In

cover image ACM Conferences
GECCO '21: Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion
July 2021
2047 pages
ISBN:9781450383516
DOI:10.1145/3449726
Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

Sponsors

Publisher

Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 08 July 2021

Check for updates

Author Tags

  1. COVID-19
  2. capacity planning
  3. hospital resource planning
  4. optimization
  5. sensitivity analysis
  6. simulation
  7. surrogate models

Qualifiers

  • Poster

Conference

GECCO '21
Sponsor:

Acceptance Rates

Overall Acceptance Rate 1,669 of 4,410 submissions, 38%

Contributors

Other Metrics

Bibliometrics & Citations

Bibliometrics

Article Metrics

  • Downloads (Last 12 months)4
  • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)0
Reflects downloads up to 07 Mar 2025

Other Metrics

Citations

Cited By

View all
  • (2024)Performance Comparison of Surrogate-Assisted Evolutionary Algorithms on Computational Fluid Dynamics ProblemsParallel Problem Solving from Nature – PPSN XVIII10.1007/978-3-031-70068-2_19(303-321)Online publication date: 7-Sep-2024
  • (2023)ApplicationEnhancing Surrogate-Based Optimization Through Parallelization10.1007/978-3-031-30609-9_4(95-107)Online publication date: 30-May-2023
  • (2022)Integrating computer simulation and the normalized normal constraint method to plan a temporary hospital for COVID-19 patientsJournal of the Operational Research Society10.1080/01605682.2022.208398974:2(562-573)Online publication date: 11-Jun-2022
  • (2021)An evolutionary and neighborhood-based algorithm for optimization under low budget requirementsProceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion10.1145/3449726.3463282(17-18)Online publication date: 7-Jul-2021

View Options

Login options

View options

PDF

View or Download as a PDF file.

PDF

eReader

View online with eReader.

eReader

Figures

Tables

Media

Share

Share

Share this Publication link

Share on social media