skip to main content
10.1145/3471274.3471277acmotherconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication Pageshp3cConference Proceedingsconference-collections
Article

A New Precipitation Nowcasting method Based on Extrapolation Technique and Random Forest

Published: 26 August 2021 Publication History

Abstract

The Precipitation Nowcasting is critical to the safe of region. Tradition extrapolate-based precipitation nowcasting used the simple extrapolation techniques, which accuracy decreased quickly after 30 minutes. In this study, a new precipitation forecasting scheme named as RF-SPLK has been developed that blends the extrapolation nowcasting method with machine learning technique. The proposed method can improve the accuracy of precipitation forecasting within the 2 h lead time. The experiments show that the statistical skill scores better than the compareable nowcasting methods and the forecast image is more continuity and close to the observed.

References

[1]
Ayzel, G., Heistermann, M., Sorokin, A., Nikitin, O. and Lukyanova, O. (2019) All convolutional neural networks for radar-based precipitation nowcasting. Procedia Computer Science 150, 186-192.
[2]
Behrangi, A., Khakbaz, B., Jaw, T.C., AghaKouchak, A., Hsu, K. and Sorooshian, S. (2011) Hydrologic evaluation of satellite precipitation products over a mid-size basin. Journal of Hydrology 397(3-4), 225-237.
[3]
Bellon, A., Lovejoy, S. and Austin, G. (1980) Combining Satellite and Radar Data for the Short-Range Forecasting of Precipitation.
[4]
Bento, A.P., Gaulton, A., Hersey, A., Bellis, L.J., Chambers, J., Davies, M., Kruger, F.A., Light, Y., Mak, L. and Mcglinchey, S. (2002) Classification and Regression by randomForest. R News 23(23).
[5]
Berenguer, M., M. Surcel, I. Zawadzki, M. Xue & F. Kong, 2012. The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation from Continental Radar Mosaics and Numerical Weather Prediction Models. Part II: Intercomparison among Numerical Models and with Nowcasting. Monthly Weather Review 140(8):2689-2705
[6]
Bonazza, P., J. Miteran, D. Ginhac & J. Dubois, 2019. Traditional Machine Learning or Deep Learning Methods for Embedded Computer Vision Study on Biometric Application. Biostatistics and Biometrics Open Access Journal 9.
[7]
D. Lucas, B. and Kanade, T. (1981) An iterative technique of image registration and its application to stereo.
[8]
Das, S., Chakraborty, R. and Maitra, A. (2017) A random forest algorithm for nowcasting of intense precipitation events. Advances in Space Research 60(6), 1271-1282.
[9]
Franch, G., D. Nerini, M. Pendesini, L. Coviello, G. Jurman & C. Furlanello, 2020. Precipitation Nowcasting with Orographic Enhanced Stacked Generalization: Improving Deep Learning Predictions on Extreme Events. Atmosphere 11(3)
[10]
Li, L., He, Z., Chen, S., Mai, X., Zhang, A., Hu, B., Li, Z. and Tong, X. (2018) Subpixel-Based Precipitation Nowcasting with the Pyramid Lucas–Kanade Optical Flow Technique. Atmosphere 9, 260.
[11]
Liu, Y., Xi, D.-G., Li, Z.-L. and Hong, Y. (2015) A new methodology for pixel-quantitative precipitation nowcasting using a pyramid Lucas Kanade optical flow approach. Journal of Hydrology 529, 354-364.
[12]
Mandapaka, P.V., Germann, U., Panziera, L., Hering, A., 2012. Can Lagrangian Extrapolation of Radar Fields Be Used for Precipitation Nowcasting over Complex Alpine Orography? Weather and Forecasting, 27(1): 28-49.
[13]
McGovern, A., 2011. Using spatiotemporal relational random forests to improve our understanding of severe weather processes. Statistical Analysis and Data Mining, 4: 407-429.
[14]
McGovern, A., 2011. Using spatiotemporal relational random forests to improve our understanding of severe weather processes. Statistical Analysis and Data Mining, 4: 407-429.
[15]
Shi, X., Z. Chen, H. Wang, D.-Y. Yeung, W. K. Wong & W.-c. Woo, 2015. Convolutional LSTM Network: A Machine Learning Approach for Precipitation Nowcasting.
[16]
SVETNIK, V. (2003) Random forest: a classification and regression tool for compound classification and QSAR modeling. Journal of Chemical Information & Computer Sciences 43.
[17]
Tuttle, J. and Gall, R. (1999) A Single-Radar Technique for Estimating the Winds in Tropical Cyclones.
[18]
Wang, G., W. K. Wong, Y. Hong, L. Liu, J. Dong and M. Xue (2014). "Improvement of forecast skill for severe weather by merging radar-based extrapolation and storm-scale NWP corrected forecast." Atmospheric Research 154.
[19]
Williams, J.K. (2014) Using random forests to diagnose aviation turbulence. Mach Learn 95(1), 51-70.
[20]
Wilson, J., E. E. Ebert, T. R. Saxen, R. Roberts, C. K. Mueller, M. Sleigh, C. Pierce and A. Seed (2004). "Sydney 2000 Forecast Demonstration Project: Convective Storm Nowcasting." Weather and Forecasting - WEATHER FORECAST 19: 131-150.
[21]
Xie, P., X. Li, X. Ji, X. Chen & Y. Ye, 2020. An Energy-Based Generative Adversarial Forecaster for Radar Echo Map Extrapolation. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters PP(99):1-5.
[22]
Zahraei, A., K.-l. Hsu, S. Sorooshian, J. J. Gourley, Y. Hong and A. Behrangi (2013). "Short-term quantitative precipitation forecasting using an object-based approach." Journal of Hydrology 483: 1-15.
[23]
Zhang, J.; Howard, K.; Langston, C.; Kaney, B.; Qi, Y.; Tang, L.; Grams, H.; Wang, Y.; Cocks, S.; Martinaitis, S., Multi-radar multi-sensor (mrms) quantitative precipitation estimation: Initial operating capabilities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2016, 97, 621-638.

Recommendations

Comments

Information & Contributors

Information

Published In

cover image ACM Other conferences
HP3C '21: Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on High Performance Compilation, Computing and Communications
June 2021
71 pages
ISBN:9781450389648
DOI:10.1145/3471274
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

Publisher

Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 26 August 2021

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Check for updates

Qualifiers

  • Article
  • Research
  • Refereed limited

Conference

HP3C'21

Contributors

Other Metrics

Bibliometrics & Citations

Bibliometrics

Article Metrics

  • 0
    Total Citations
  • 60
    Total Downloads
  • Downloads (Last 12 months)7
  • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)1
Reflects downloads up to 05 Mar 2025

Other Metrics

Citations

View Options

Login options

View options

PDF

View or Download as a PDF file.

PDF

eReader

View online with eReader.

eReader

HTML Format

View this article in HTML Format.

HTML Format

Figures

Tables

Media

Share

Share

Share this Publication link

Share on social media