ABSTRACT
In early 2020, the outbreak of the COVID-19 severely hits the global economy. With the closure of many manufacturing industries, a large number of employees have lost their jobs, residential consumption fells rapidly and many firms go bankrupt. Under such background, this paper investigates the impact of the epidemic on the Boxes industry and analyzes the changes of each factor in the Boxes industry before and after the epidemic using the Fama-French five-factor model. The results show that the coefficient of market factor decreases due to the epidemic. It indicates that the industry is less sensitive to market volatility and the size factor becomes redundant. The BM ration factor changes from redundant to significant and the coefficient is positive, which indicates that investors prefer value stocks in the Boxes industry after the epidemic. The profitability factor is always redundant and the investment style factor changes from significant to redundant, showing that the COVID-19 pandemic brings opportunities and challenges to the whole industry. It also indicates that companies with a high book-to-market ratio and stable development in the Boxes industry are more valuable for investment recommendation during the epidemic.
- Markowitz, H. Portfolio selection[J]. The Journal of Finance, 1952, 7(1).Google Scholar
- Sharpe W. Capital asset prices: A theory of capital market equilibrium under conditions of risk[J].Journal of Finance,1964,19.Google Scholar
- Lintner J. The Valuation of Risk Assets and Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets[J]. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1965, 47(1).Google ScholarCross Ref
- Mossin J. Aspects of Rational Insurance Pricing[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1968, 76(4).Google ScholarCross Ref
- Stephen, A, R. The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing[J]. Journal of Economic Theory, 1976, 13(3).Google Scholar
- Anderson D. Lynch A, Mathiou N. Behaviour of CAPM Anomalies in Smaller Firms: Australian Evidence[J]. Australian Journal of Management, 1990, 15(1).Google ScholarCross Ref
- Cadsby C B. The CAPM and the Calendar: Empirical Anomalies and the Risk-Return Relationship[J]. Management Science, 1992, 38(11).Google Scholar
- Fama E F, French K. Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds[J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 1993, 33(1):3-56.Google ScholarCross Ref
- Fama E F, French K. A five-factor asset pricing model[J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 2015, 116(1).Google ScholarCross Ref
- Mateus C, Todorovic N, Sarwar G. US sector rotation with five-factor Fama–French alphas[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2017, 19(2):1-17.Google Scholar
- Songul Kakilli Acaravci, Karaomer Y. Fama-French Five Factor Model: Evidence from Turkey[J]. International Journal of Economics & Financial Issues, 2017, 7.Google Scholar
- David B, Hanauer M X, Milan V, Five Concerns with the Five-Factor Model[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2018, 44(4):71-78.Google Scholar
- Alexiou C, Tyagi A. Gauging the effectiveness of sector rotation strategies: evidence from the USA and Europe[J]. Journal of Asset Management, 2020, 21.Google Scholar
- Dirkx P, Peter F J. The Fama-French Five-Factor Model Plus Momentum: Evidence for the German Market[J]. 2020.Google Scholar
- Notteboom T, Pallis A A. IAPH-WPSP COVID19 port economic impact barometer: Half-year report. 2020.Google Scholar
- Kuriakose F, Sreeyantha C R. Differential Impact of Covid-19 on Economic Growth and Regulatory Response: Evidence from OECD economies. 2021.Google Scholar
- Aspachs O, Durante R , Graziano A , Tracking the impact of COVID-19 on economic inequality at high frequency[J]. PLoS ONE, 2021, 16(3):e0249121.Google ScholarCross Ref
- Dominik H, Wang Y L. The examination of Fama-French Model during the COVID-19[J]. Finance Research Letters, 2020:101848.Google Scholar
- Buttron, C Y. Looking for Macro Factors: Testing Fama-French's Five-Factor Model and Adding Macroeconomic Data, [online]Available:http://commons.lib.niu.edu/bitstream/handle/10843/17501/Capstone%20Final.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y.Google Scholar
- Chaudhary P. Testing of Three Factor Fama-French Model for Indian and US Stock Market[J]. Journal of Commerce & Accounting Research, 2017.Google Scholar
- Kari V, Gausselmann S. Testing the CAPM and the Fama-French 3-Factor Model on U.S. High-Tech Stocks, [online]Available:http://lup.lub.lu.se/luur/download?func=downloadFile&recordOId=8910802&fileOId=8910803.Google Scholar
- Bachman D. The economic impact of COVID-19, [online]Available:www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/COVID-19/economic-impact-COVID-19.html.Google Scholar
- Dolbneva D V . The Impact of COVID-19 on the World's Economies[J]. THE PROBLEMS OF ECONOMY, 2020, 1(43):20-26.Google ScholarCross Ref
Recommendations
Research on the Impact of Covid-19 to the Clothing Industry based on Fama-French Model
ICEME '21: Proceedings of the 2021 12th International Conference on E-business, Management and EconomicsDuring the Covid-19 pandemic period, the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve started a radical monetary simulation plan to save the economy. The current capital market experiences more fluctuation and are more unpredictable. Capital asset pricing ...
Research on the Impact of Covid-19 on the Chemistry Industry in US Stock Market based on the Fama-French Five-factor Model
ICEME '21: Proceedings of the 2021 12th International Conference on E-business, Management and EconomicsThe capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the Fama-French model are of great significance to the study of all aspects of the capital market, which lays the foundation of modern finance. This paper analyzes both data before Covid-19 and after Covid-19, ...
Research on Meals Industry of the US Stock Market Before and After COVID-19 Pandemic: Based on the Fama-French Five-Factor Model
ICEME '21: Proceedings of the 2021 12th International Conference on E-business, Management and EconomicsAbstract: This research aims to study the applicability of the Fama-French five-factor model in the Meals Industry of the US stock market, and then analyzes and interprets the industry based on the background of the COVID-19 pandemic. This model ...
Comments