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Exchange Rate, Interest Rates, and Stock Market Cointegration

Published:15 December 2023Publication History

ABSTRACT

This study aims to identify the dynamic interplay between the Baht/USD exchange rate, US discount rate, and Stock Exchange of Thailand index, by utilizing the vector error correction model. Utilizing daily data from 04/01/2017 to 14/07/2021, obtained from the Bank of Thailand website, the empirical evidence reveals a long-run relationship between the Baht/USD exchange rate, US discount rate, and Stock Exchange. Furthermore, the results indicate bidirectional short-run relationships between these variables. These findings provide governments and investors with a valuable insight into the interplay between these variables, enabling them to plan effective investment strategies to reduce risk and maximize returns.

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  • Published in

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    ICEME '23: Proceedings of the 2023 14th International Conference on E-business, Management and Economics
    July 2023
    507 pages
    ISBN:9798400708022
    DOI:10.1145/3616712

    Copyright © 2023 ACM

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    Publication History

    • Published: 15 December 2023

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