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A Novel Gas Compressor Performance Degradation Prediction Model for M251S Gas Turbine System

Published:06 May 2024Publication History

ABSTRACT

In this paper, in order to develop a gas compressor (GC) efficiency degradation prediction model for the predictive maintenance purpose, a novel artificial neural network (ANN) model which can take both past operating data and future operation schedule as input is developed based on Direct Strategy and DLinear model. The detailed development process of the model, including data preprocessing and feature engineering, as well as the selection of model prediction strategies and the intricate construction of the model, are all presented. The test result on the test dataset shows that it can accurately forecast the GC efficiency trend over the next seven days based on the past 24 hours of operation data and the forthcoming week's operation plan, especially the efficiency degradation trend after blade washing. This model can serve as a robust tool for predictive maintenance of M251S gas turbine's GC.

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        BDMIP '23: Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Big Data Mining and Information Processing
        November 2023
        223 pages
        ISBN:9798400709166
        DOI:10.1145/3645279

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        • Published: 6 May 2024

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